Geospatial modelling of forest fire risk and mitigation strategies: a case study
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GLOBAL WARMING, cilt.34, sa.2, ss.162-175, 2024 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus)
- Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
- Cilt numarası: 34 Sayı: 2
- Basım Tarihi: 2024
- Doi Numarası: 10.1504/ijgw.2024.142423
- Dergi Adı: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GLOBAL WARMING
- Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, CAB Abstracts, INSPEC, Veterinary Science Database, Civil Engineering Abstracts
- Sayfa Sayıları: ss.162-175
- Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet
Özet
This study models forest fire risks and predicts fire distribution using GIS in Izar & egrave;ne Forest, Ouazzane Province, Morocco. The A. Dagorne and Y. Duche model, combined with indices for topography, vegetative flammability, and human activity, was weighted and calibrated, achieving 91.67% accuracy. The maps showed 34% of the area, mainly the western, northwest, southern, and South Eastern regions, had extremely high fire risk, while 26% had low susceptibility. Additionally, 56% of the road network and 68% of the population were in high-risk areas, underscoring the need for effective forest fire management planning.