Designing a resilient humanitarian supply chain by considering viability under uncertainty: A machine learning embedded approach


YILMAZ Ö. F., Guan Y., GÜRSOY YILMAZ B.

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW, cilt.194, 2025 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 194
  • Basım Tarihi: 2025
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103943
  • Dergi Adı: TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, ABI/INFORM, Aerospace Database, Business Source Elite, Business Source Premier, Communication Abstracts, EconLit, Geobase, INSPEC, Metadex, DIALNET, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Humanitarian supply chains (HSCs) play a crucial role in mitigating the impacts of natural disasters and preventing humanitarian crises. Designing resilient HSCs is critically important to ensure effective recovery and long-term sustainability during and after such events. This study addresses the design of resilient HSCs with viability consideration under known-unknown demand and capacity uncertainties by formulating a two-stage stochastic programming model. To solve this problem and achieve high-quality solutions, three solution approaches are developed and compared. The first approach introduces risk aversion into a genetic algorithm (GA) through chance constraints, termed GA with chance constraints (GAC). The other two approaches integrate the Random Forest (RF) algorithm with GAC, employing incremental learning (GACRFI) and non-incremental learning (GACRFNI). To evaluate the performance of these algorithms and provide insights into designing a resilient HSC, a full factorial design of experiments (DoE) is established using controllable factors. Problems are generated for three cases, each of which corresponds to a distinct disruption and ripple effect severity degree. Computational analysis shows that integrating the machine learning algorithm into the GA yields superior results across all risk level settings, leading to a win-win situation for all stakeholders in HSCs. This study provides valuable insights for designing resilient HSCs that ensure both short-term recovery and long-term sustainability by considering viability under varying risk levels and severity degrees.