STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF MATCH OUTCOMES AND PRE-MATCH BETTING ODDS IN SWISS PROFESSIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUES (2013–2025)

14. INTERNATIONAL EUROPEAN CONGRESS ON ADVANCED STUDIES IN BASIC SCIENCES, Zürich, İsviçre, 3 - 06 Eylül 2026, ss.484-499, (Tam Metin Bildiri)

This study aimed to comparatively examine matches played in the Swiss Super League, Challenge

League, and Promotion League during the 2013–2025 period in terms of match outcomes, goal-related

characteristics, first-half indicators, and pre-match betting odds. The study included 4,696 matches

manually compiled, coded, and standardized by the researcher on a match-by-match basis. Descriptive

statistics, Pearson’s chi-square test, and Cramer’s V were used, while Welch’s test and Games–Howell

post hoc comparisons were applied to compare betting odds across leagues. The results revealed a

significant, moderate association between the first-half result and the final match result (V=0.433).

Significant associations were also found between the final match result and Over/Under 2.5 goals

(V=0.307) and Both Teams to Score (V=0.230). No significant association was found between league

level and final match result, whereas differences with small effect sizes were observed for several goalrelated

and first-half indicators. Betting odds also differed significantly across league levels. Overall,

the three leagues showed largely similar final match outcome distributions but differed in certain goalrelated

indicators and betting odds.