Analysing root causes of grounding marine accidents during pilotage: a data-driven perspective


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Canımoğlu R., YILDIRIM U., Demirci S. M. E.

Journal of Navigation, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Basım Tarihi: 2026
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1017/s0373463326101544
  • Dergi Adı: Journal of Navigation
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Artic & Antarctic Regions, Geobase, INSPEC
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Association rule mining, grounding, HFACS-Apriori, marine pilotage, maritime accidents
  • Açık Arşiv Koleksiyonu: AVESİS Açık Erişim Koleksiyonu
  • Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

In maritime transportation, pilotage plays a crucial role in ensuring navigational safety. Marine pilots possess in-depth knowledge of local waters, currents and weather conditions, guiding ships safely through complex waterways. This expertise minimises risks such as collisions and groundings, thereby protecting both the ship and the environment, and promoting safe, efficient maritime traffic management. However, grounding accidents in pilotage waters can still lead to severe environmental, economic and operational damage, including oil spills, ecosystem harm and costly salvage efforts. Continuous improvements in pilotage are therefore vital to minimise these risks. In this study, with the combination of HFACS methodology and Apriori algorithm, factors contributing to grounding accidents in ships navigating with marine pilots and ship features are examined, and strong association rules among factors are achieved. The prominent factors discovered are ‘Ship–Marine Pilot Communication Problems’, ‘Inappropriate Passage Plan’, ‘Ineffective Usage of Bridge Equipment’, ‘Port Authority Resource Management’ and ‘Ineffective Teamwork’. Ship-marine pilot communication problems are the most prevalent factor in these derived rules which is appearing in 8 of 9 rules and exerting a substantial influence on the accidents. Inappropriate passage planning, identified in 6 rules, emerges as another significant and recurrent contributing factor. Based on the association rules, this study provides significant insights and actionable recommendations for stakeholders to prevent grounding accidents in marine pilot-assisted navigation.