Machine learning-based prediction of the unconfined compressive strength of expansive soils stabilized with hydrated lime-activated rice husk ash


Ateş B., Eirgash M. A., Zhao Y.

Asian Journal of Civil Engineering, 2026 (Scopus) identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Publication Date: 2026
  • Doi Number: 10.1007/s42107-026-01689-5
  • Journal Name: Asian Journal of Civil Engineering
  • Journal Indexes: Scopus, zbMATH
  • Keywords: Expansive soils, Hydrated-lime-activated rice husk ash, Machine learning, Slime Mould Algorithm, Soil stabilization, Unconfined compressive strength
  • Karadeniz Technical University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

Accurate prediction of the unconfined compressive strength (UCS) of stabilized expansive soils is vital for reliable geotechnical design. This study proposes a Slime Mould Algorithm (SMA), an optimized machine learning framework to predict the UCS of expansive soils treated with hydrated-lime-activated rice husk ash (HARHA). A database of 121 laboratory-tested samples was developed using seven input parameters: HARHA content, liquid limit, plastic limit, plasticity index, optimum moisture content, clay activity, and maximum dry density. Several machine learning models were evaluated in both conventional and SMA-optimized forms using R2, RMSE, MAE, and MSE. SMA optimization significantly improved model performance, increasing R2 by 3–7% and reducing RMSE by up to 25%. The optimized models achieved R2 values above 0.98, indicating excellent predictive accuracy. Compared with existing empirical and standalone models, the proposed framework showed substantial performance gains, up to 83% over SVR, 53% over ANN, and 15% over RF. Sensitivity analysis revealed that HARHA content and maximum dry density positively influence UCS, while clay activity and plasticity-related parameters have negative effects. Overall, the proposed approach offers a robust and sustainable alternative to conventional empirical methods, reducing reliance on extensive laboratory testing.